Intuitively I would have to go with 100%, unless it's a tiny bowl of water in an enormous box. Anything less than 100% the bowl would be empty and all the water would have been absorbed into the air and the air would still have potential for more moisture.
I am no physicist but at 100% humidity water vapor the tempature would need to be higher than the outside tempature which would cause condensation. Air holds more water the higher the tempature right!? It would not cause rain because of the need for mass and air flow however it would condense and cause the inside to sweat. Just my theory based on no fact.
Altitude also is a variable, as is temperature. There is a nice formula to predict it if you'd like, I remember doing a lot of it in physics in college. I don't miss it. Look up Goff-Gratch (I think)..
Now that I think of this a bit more I think I screwed it up. I forgot to say that pressure cant change in this magical air tight container. If we have an air tight container with no changes in pressure at an average temp and average elevation what would happen?
In fantasy land, a cloud would form and it would start raining, the drops being absorbed by the air just as it reaches the surface. The volume increase in the air would equal the volume decrease in the water bowl.
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